#BTC即将创新高吗？# The "Trump Effect" of Bitcoin:

From Twitter to the White House's policy frenzy, Trump's social media account has long become a "barometer" for the crypto market.
On May 7, after he predicted the announcement of the "Great Power Trade Agreement," Bitcoin jumped from $97,759 to $99,140. Market analysts generally believe that the optimistic expectations for the trade agreement directly drove funds into cryptocurrencies.
Institutional entry accelerates: New Hampshire in the United States is the first to approve government funding allocation for cryptocurrencies, signaling "policy easing"; the founder of BN predicts that this cycle Bitcoin may hit between $500,000 and $1,000,000.
Hedging and speculation intertwined:
Geopolitical conflicts (such as the India-Pakistan situation) and the backdrop of the Federal Reserve maintaining high interest rates have made Bitcoin a new choice for capital hedging. Experts bluntly state: "Every policy move by Trump injects adrenaline into the crypto market."
New Logic of Bull Market: The Outbreak of Stablecoins and the Rise of "Digital Dollar" In this round of rising prices, a commonly overlooked driving force is the global penetration of stablecoins. Stablecoins like USDT and USDC have transcended the crypto sphere, becoming "hard currency" for cross-border trade and gray areas. For example, during the India-Pakistan conflict, some investors used stablecoins to avoid the risk of local currency depreciation, further boosting market demand.
The total market value of cryptocurrencies is approaching $30 trillion, with Bitcoin accounting for 64%, as institutional funds concentrate on the leaders;
The greed index has risen to 65, and market sentiment has shifted from cautious to euphoric.
Is $100,000 a trap or a springboard?
Despite Bitcoin breaking through key resistance levels, analysts remind:
1. Beware of market fluctuations: The details of the agreement have not yet been finalized. If negotiations encounter obstacles or geopolitical conflicts escalate, the market may quickly reverse; 2. Liquidity risk remains: The Federal Reserve has not yet cut interest rates. If economic data worsens, crypto assets may face downward pressure.
3. Long-term thinking is key: HODLers can buy the dip, but short-term speculators must strictly adhere to stop-loss discipline.
Retail Survival Rules:
Keep 30%-50% cash to avoid going all-in.
Pay attention to Trump's policy trends and the Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions; mainstream coins like Ethereum and Solana may become targets for rebound.
From the tariff war to trade agreements, from the Federal Reserve's interest rate hikes to geopolitical conflicts, Bitcoin is transforming from a "marginal asset" into a "thermometer" of the global macro landscape. Meanwhile, Trump's "Twitter governance" style may continue to create dramatic market movements in the crypto space.
If more countries follow the UK in signing agreements, Bitcoin is expected to challenge $150,000 by the end of 2025; however, if the trade war reignites, $80,000 may become a key support.