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Aug 18, 2025, 10:00 – Aug 22, 2025, 16:00 (UTC)
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The financial markets have recently shown a series of remarkable developments. First, U.S. inflation data came in below expectations, triggering strong market expectations that the Fed may cut interest rates in September. According to data from the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME), the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in September has surged to 90.1%, while the likelihood of a cumulative 50 basis point cut in October has also reached 63.5%. This expectation has driven a widespread rise in risk assets, with both the Nasdaq and the S&P 500 hitting new highs.
At the same time, the Bitcoin ETF market is continuously expanding globally. After the United States and Hong Kong, Kazakhstan has become the first country in Central Asia to launch a spot Bitcoin ETF. Fonte Capital has launched a physically-backed Bitcoin ETF (BETF) on the Astana International Exchange, with custody services provided by BitGo and insured for $250 million. This move not only lowers the threshold for investors to directly participate in the Bitcoin market but is also expected to attract more incremental capital inflow.
It is noteworthy that institutional investors' interest in Bitcoin seems to be rising as well. The Government Pension Fund Global (NBIM) of Norway, as the world's largest sovereign wealth fund, has reached an exposure of 7,161 Bitcoin, approximately $860 million, setting a new historical high. This move further validates Bitcoin's status as a reserve asset and is expected to support market confidence in the long term.
In terms of regulation, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) is advancing the integration of a digital asset regulatory framework, planning to unify the regulatory standards for traditional finance and digital finance. This initiative involves the integration of brokerage services, the establishment of custody standards, and the simplification of licensing processes, which is expected to reduce compliance uncertainty and create a more favorable environment for institutional investors to enter the market.
Emerging markets are also actively exploring the digital asset space. The Vietnamese Ministry of Finance plans to submit a pilot policy for digital asset exchanges in August, prioritizing high liquidity assets, while the State Bank of Vietnam is also studying the Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC) model. This indicates that the Southeast Asian region is gradually opening up the digital asset market, which could bring new growth momentum to the global cryptocurrency ecosystem.
Overall, global financial markets are undergoing a series of significant changes, from monetary policy expectations to digital asset regulation and adoption, these developments could have a profound impact on the future investment landscape. Investors should closely monitor these trends to make more informed investment decisions.