Bitcoin Cash (BCH), as one of the earliest forked coins of Bitcoin, has always been an important participant in the cryptocurrency market due to its scalability and community consensus. With the advancement of technological upgrades in 2025 and the synergistic effect of the Bitcoin ecosystem, the future of BCH Price Trend Attracting attention. This article will combine technical analysis, market data, and industry trends to comprehensively analyze its price potential and potential risk factors.
2025: Dual Drive of Technological Upgrade and Halving Cycle
2025 is seen as a key turning point for Bitcoin Cash. On one hand, its core development team is pushing for protocol upgrades, aiming to increase transaction speed to thousands per second and reduce confirmation time to 2-3 seconds. This technological breakthrough is expected to significantly enhance the practicality of BCH as a payment tool, thereby boosting adoption rates. On the other hand, BCH is expected to undergo a halving of block rewards in the fourth quarter of 2025. Historical data shows that halving events typically trigger price fluctuations through changes in supply and demand dynamics.
According to predictions from multiple institutions, by 2025 BCH price Possible divergence trend:
- Conservative prediction: DigitalCoinPrice predicts that the year-end price will reach $1,391, with an annual increase of about 250%;
- Bold prediction: Bitrue believes that if the technical upgrade goes smoothly, BCH is expected to break through the high of $811, and even challenge $1,500;
- Short-term volatility: Technical indicators show that the RSI value of BCH is 55.83 (neutral range) at present, with the 50-day and 200-day moving averages interlacing, presenting mixed buy and sell signals, indicating that the market is in a consolidation phase, with the main support level in the range of $340 - $360.
Long-term Outlook: Ecological Expansion and Bitcoin Linkage Effect
From 2026 to 2030, the price performance of Bitcoin Cash will be more dependent on ecosystem expansion and the synergistic effects of the Bitcoin market:
- The spillover effect of the Bitcoin bull market: Historical data shows that BCH and Bitcoin price Highly correlated. If Bitcoin, as predicted, breaks $200,000 in 2025, BCH may also benefit from the overall market liquidity improvement. Institutions like Matrixport point out that the inflow of funds into Bitcoin ETFs and loose macro policies may indirectly drive the revaluation of forked coins;
- The scale application of payment scenarios: BCH continues to reduce transaction costs by optimizing protocols (such as the CashShuffle privacy feature, Schnorr signature), and some e-commerce platforms have begun to access. If breakthroughs can be made in the field of cross-border payments, the price is expected to reach $3,000 - $3,220 by 2030.
Competition and risk factors
- Technical challenge: Competing with BSV’s computing power may pose a threat to network stability;
- Market substitutability: Innovations in payment scenarios by smart contract platforms such as Ethereum may have a diversion effect on the demand for BCH.
Key Price Drivers Analysis
- Institutional adoption rate: Companies like MicroStrategy continue to increase their holdings of Bitcoin, which may indirectly boost market confidence in forked coins. Standard Chartered Bank predicts that if pension funds start allocating to crypto assets, the liquidity of BCH will significantly improve;
- Macroeconomic environment: The weakening of the US Dollar Index (DXY) and the possibility of a Fed rate cut cycle may help drive the overall rise of crypto assets. Historical data shows that for every 90-point drop in the DXY, Bitcoin on average rises by 120%, and BCH may benefit synchronously.
Investor strategy advice
- Short-term trading: Pay attention to the $340 support level and $400 resistance level, combined with RSI overbought/oversold signals for swing trading;
- HODL: If the network hash rate remains stable and technological upgrades are implemented after halving, consider building positions below $500 in batches;
- Risk hedging: Be cautious of the fork risk of Bitcoin SV and global regulatory uncertainty, and recommend that BCH should not exceed 5% of the investment portfolio.
Conclusion
Bitcoin Cash is currently at a crucial stage of technical upgrades and market repositioning. Despite challenges such as increasing competition and price fluctuations, its potential as an efficient payment network is still worth paying attention to. Investors should continue to monitor protocol developments, Bitcoin market correlations, and on-chain data performance, dynamically adjusting their strategies to capture long-term value opportunities.
Author:
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